RSS

Tag Archive | "Politics"

The Long Palin Vertical Spread

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

1 Comment

As the market sighs and concedes a monster gap up, isn’t it good to know that there’s always a bull market somewhere?  We’re speaking, of course, about the Intrade contract betting that Sarah Palin will withdraw (or, more likely, be withdrawn) as the Republican VP nominee before the 2008 election. If you were actually long this PALIN.VP.WITHDRAWN contract, perhaps you could hedge the gamble with some long 2008.PRES.McCAIN, on the view that these might be close to inversely…

Check out The Liscio Report

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Comments Off

The authors of The Liscio Report – a favorite of Alan Abelson and Barry Ritholtz – are now blogging, and they’re off to a fantastic start.  This recent post surveys the correlations between Presidents, presidential party, and various economic indicators: Not to spoil the suspense too much, but here are the basic conclusions. Since Franklin Roosevelt’s third term (1941–44), Democrats have generally presided over faster growth and stronger stock markets than Republicans; Republican administrations have been friendlier for disinflation…

MEMBER CHOICES

Condor Options
Calendar Options
VIX Portfolio Hedging (VXH)
Don't miss another trade. Click here to become a member.
Advertise Here