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Tag Archive | "rally"

Trading Against Low Volume Rallies

Friday, August 29, 2008

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Much of the talk these days has been about the incredibly low volume across the board. Well, “incredible” isn’t the right word at all – this is a perennially quiet time of year in the market. But what was kind of interesting was today’s meaty rally on such low volume: except for the Nasdaq, the major indexes were up more than 1.5%.  So we wondered: Historically, would there be any edge in shorting large rallies that occur on very low volume? We…

Punctured Rally

Monday, May 12, 2008

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The rally off the March lows is starting to seem like a hot air balloon that has sprung a leak and is getting ready to collapse in on itself.  For today’s rally to be believable, we’d need to see a lot more volume than this. NYSE volume made a new low for the year, and the lack of significant news today suggests this is likely some short-covering rather than a genuine bullish vindication. The ratio of front-month to 3-month volatility is stretched…

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